Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liechtenstein vs Belgium

World World

World Championship 2026 Rheinpark Stadion
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Belgium is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Liechtenstein, backed by a win probability of 69%. Liechtenstein averages 0.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in recent matches. Belgium shows a form average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Liechtenstein, 2 wins for Belgium, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.11.25 ended in a 7:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.56 for Liechtenstein and 2.94 for Belgium, suggesting the primary value lies in the Belgium double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

11%
Liechtenstein
20%
Uavgjort
69%
Belgium
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Belgium

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Liechtenstein har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Belgium.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.56 vs 2.94 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 87%
Over 1.5 Mål 77%
Over 2.5 Mål 54%
Over 3.5 Mål 32%
Over 4.5 Mål 16%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 31%
Liechtenstein Rent bur 10%
Belgium Rent bur 22%
Mål 1. omgang 69%
Mål 2. omgang 73%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Liechtenstein Belgium
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 2 14
Uavgjort 4 8
Tap 24 7
Mål Scoret 0.3 2.28
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.5 0.97
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.38 3.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.75 0.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18.11.25 World Championship
Belgium vs Liechtenstein
7:0
04.09.25 World Championship
Liechtenstein vs Belgium
0:6

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Liechtenstein

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Belgium

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Liechtenstein Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.29
Snitt xA / kamp 0.19

Belgium Sammenlign

Toppscorer De Cuyper M.
1 Mål
Assister Tielemans Y.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.85
Snitt xA / kamp 1.74

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Liechtenstein 12 / 100
Belgium 67 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Liechtenstein Belgium

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Belgium Win (2)
Sekundærtips Belgium & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Belgium will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Liechtenstein 12%
Belgium 55%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Liechtenstein will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Belgium's early runs.

Liechtenstein 10%
Belgium 72%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Belgium to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Liechtenstein tries to push forward.

Liechtenstein 11%
Belgium 69%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments will see Belgium increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Liechtenstein 12%
Belgium 66%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Liechtenstein's defense, opening up opportunities for Belgium's forward line.

Liechtenstein 10%
Belgium 76%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect Belgium to manage the closing stages, while Liechtenstein searches for late drama.

Liechtenstein 13%
Belgium 79%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Liechtenstein angriper → ← angriper Belgium

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Liechtenstein have found the net in 27% of their last 30 matches.

Belgium have conceded at least one goal in 62% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 6.50 goals per match.

Liechtenstein remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Belgium suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

10 Poeng siste 5 50
0.38 Forventede mål (xG) 3.13
2.75 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280