Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania vs Cyprus

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

32'
Kyprianou H.
34' Event
Pittas I.
Assist: Tzionis M.
45'
Panagiotou Filiotis A.

Kampsammendrag

Cyprus in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cyprus.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Lithuania
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Cyprus
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Cyprus have won more games recently than Lithuania.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • History favors Cyprus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 81.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 29.6%
Lithuania Rent bur 68%
Cyprus Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lithuania Cyprus
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 6 8
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 17 15
Mål Scoret 0.82 1.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.5 1.89
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15. nov. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Lithuania
2:1
6. sep. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Cyprus
0:1
19. nov. 2023 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
1:0
26. feb. 2001 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
1:2
2. feb. 2000 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Lithuania Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Cyprus Sammenlign

Toppscorer Pittas I.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.54
Snitt xA / kamp 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lithuania 42 / 100
Cyprus 40 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lithuania Cyprus

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Cyprus conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lithuania scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Lithuania has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Lithuania VS Cyprus
0.75 Mål scoret 1.63
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania

(Home)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0
Lithuania
Page 1 of 6

Cyprus

(Away)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Slovakia 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Estonia 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Kosovo 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
3 Cyprus 6 2 0 4 4:15 6
4 Lithuania 6 0 0 6 4:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bulgaria 6 2 3 1 3:6 9
3 Belarus 6 1 4 1 3:4 7
4 Luxembourg 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Macedonia 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Armenia 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Faroe Islands 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Latvia 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)