Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania vs Kosovo

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

14'
Girdvainis E.
20' Event
Zhegrova E.
Assist: Muslija F.
34'
Gineitis G.

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Lithuania and Kosovo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kosovo.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

13%
Lithuania
17%
Uavgjort
70%
Kosovo
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Kosovo

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Kosovo come out ahead of Lithuania on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Kosovo taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kosovo have taken 3 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 75.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lithuania Rent bur 16%
Kosovo Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lithuania Kosovo
Kamper Spilt 28 30
Seire 6 16
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 17 10
Mål Scoret 0.82 1.57
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.5 1.23
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.94 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. nov. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Kosovo vs Lithuania
1:0
12. okt. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Kosovo
1:2
24. mars 2021 Friendly International
Kosovo vs Lithuania
4:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Lithuania Sammenlign

Toppscorer Golubickas P.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.72
Snitt xA / kamp 0.47

Kosovo Sammenlign

Toppscorer Zhegrova E.
1 Mål
Assister Krasniqi E.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.36
Snitt xA / kamp 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lithuania 15 / 100
Kosovo 77 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lithuania Kosovo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Kosovo Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Kosovo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lithuania scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Lithuania went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Lithuania VS Kosovo
0.75 Mål scoret 1.25
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania

(Home)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0
Lithuania
Page 1 of 6

Kosovo

(Away)
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
31 May
Czech Republic
2 : 1
Kosovo
31 Mar
Kosovo
0 : 1
Turkey
26 Mar
Slovakia
3 : 4
Kosovo
18 Nov
Kosovo
1 : 1
Switzerland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Slovakia 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Estonia 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Kosovo 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
3 Cyprus 6 2 0 4 4:15 6
4 Lithuania 6 0 0 6 4:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bulgaria 6 2 3 1 3:6 9
3 Belarus 6 1 4 1 3:4 7
4 Luxembourg 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Macedonia 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Armenia 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Faroe Islands 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Latvia 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)