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Stadium Background

Llandudno FC vs Holyhead

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Llandudno FC enters this Cymru North 2025/2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Llandudno FC averages 2.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Holyhead shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for Llandudno FC, 0 wins for Holyhead, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 31.01.26 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.56 for Llandudno FC and 1.31 for Holyhead, suggesting the primary value lies in the Llandudno FC double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Llandudno FC
15%
Uavgjort
25%
Holyhead
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Llandudno FC

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

86% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Llandudno FC har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Holyhead.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.56 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 70%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 70%
Over 3.5 Mål 42%
Over 4.5 Mål 21%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 61%
Llandudno FC Rent bur 18%
Holyhead Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 76%
Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Llandudno FC Holyhead
Kamper Spilt 33 31
Seire 28 11
Uavgjort 1 7
Tap 4 13
Mål Scoret 2.85 1.68
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.65
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.38 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

31.01.26 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Llandudno FC
1:2
25.07.25 Cymru North
Llandudno FC vs Holyhead
1:0
24.01.23 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Llandudno FC
0:4
07.12.22 Cymru North
Llandudno FC vs Holyhead
5:2
23.07.22 League Cup
Holyhead vs Llandudno FC
1:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Llandudno FC

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Holyhead

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Llandudno FC Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bennett H.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.83
Snitt xA / kamp 1.19

Holyhead Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Llandudno FC 58 / 100
Holyhead 25 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Llandudno FC Holyhead

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Llandudno FC Win (1)
Sekundærtips Llandudno FC & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Llandudno FC is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Llandudno FC 66%
Holyhead 20%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Holyhead will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Llandudno FC's attacks.

Llandudno FC 57%
Holyhead 26%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Llandudno FC to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Llandudno FC 60%
Holyhead 25%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Llandudno FC vary their attacking width.

Llandudno FC 63%
Holyhead 24%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Holyhead, allowing Llandudno FC's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Llandudno FC 54%
Holyhead 28%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Llandudno FC, while Holyhead takes risks to salvage a result.

Llandudno FC 69%
Holyhead 29%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Llandudno FC angriper → ← angriper Holyhead

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Llandudno FC have found the net in 100% of their last 33 matches.

Holyhead have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.

Llandudno FC remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Holyhead suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

85 Poeng siste 5 40
2.38 Forventede mål (xG) 1.38
1.25 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423