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Luxembourg vs Estonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
fre. 13. nov. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Luxembourg host Estonia in the UEFA Nations League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Estonia have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Luxembourg have conceded 1.4 and scored 0.7. Past meetings favor Estonia slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 3. okt. 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Estonia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

13%
Luxembourg
17%
Uavgjort
70%
Estonia
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Estonia

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Estonia lately — more wins on the board than Luxembourg.
  • Estonia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Estonia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65.4%
Luxembourg Rent bur 20%
Estonia Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Luxembourg Estonia
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 8 9
Uavgjort 4 6
Tap 18 15
Mål Scoret 0.7 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.4 1.7
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Estonia vs Luxembourg
1:0
12. okt. 2005 World Championship
Luxembourg vs Estonia
0:2
4. sep. 2004 World Championship
Estonia vs Luxembourg
4:0
25. apr. 2000 Friendly International
Luxembourg vs Estonia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Luxembourg 16 / 100
Estonia 65 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Luxembourg Estonia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Estonia Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Estonia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Luxembourg scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Luxembourg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Luxembourg VS Estonia
1 Mål scoret 1.38
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luxembourg

(Home)
06 Oct
Luxembourg
0 : 2
Bulgaria
03 Oct
Estonia
1 : 0
Luxembourg
29 Sept
Luxembourg
0 : 3
Iceland
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2
Luxembourg
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
Page 1 of 6

Estonia

(Away)
06 Oct
Estonia
0 : 0
Iceland
03 Oct
Estonia
1 : 0
Luxembourg
29 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 0
Estonia
26 Sept
Iceland
1 : 1
Estonia
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)