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Mahia vs Nairobi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
fre. 9. okt. 2026
VS
12:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Mahia host Nairobi United in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Mahia have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Nairobi United's 1.18 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Mahia have won 0 to Nairobi United's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on 9. okt. 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.06, favoring Mahia. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Mahia
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Nairobi United
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Mahia have won more games recently than Nairobi United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69%
Mahia Rent bur 20%
Nairobi United Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mahia Nairobi United
Kamper Spilt 26 28
Seire 13 10
Uavgjort 6 9
Tap 7 9
Mål Scoret 1.38 1.18
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.96 1
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.92 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. okt. 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs Nairobi United
0:0
31. mai 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs Nairobi United
0:1
21. des. 2025 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Mahia
1:1
29. juni 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Mahia vs Nairobi United
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mahia 32 / 100
Nairobi United 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mahia Nairobi United

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Nairobi United Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mahia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).

Nairobi United let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mahia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Mahia VS Nairobi United
0.63 Mål scoret 0
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahia

(Home)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

Nairobi United

(Away)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)