Sport Picks
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
Tyskland
DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Mewa Arena, Mainz 
Kamphendelser
1'
1'
Hanche-Olsen A.
6'
6'
Jaquez L.
Assist: El Khannouss B.
38'
38'
Kohr D.
Kampsammendrag
This match ends 0-2, with VfB Stuttgart advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
22%
28%
50%
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: VfB Stuttgart
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
76%
/ Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Mainz come out ahead of VfB Stuttgart on wins alone.
- Win probability leans VfB Stuttgart's way, sitting at 50%.
- Mainz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor VfB Stuttgart, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 82%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 82%
Over 3.5 Mål 69%
Over 4.5 Mål 31%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Mainz Rent bur 10%
VfB Stuttgart Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Mainz | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 17 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 6 |
| Tap | 5 | 8 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.43 | 2.55 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.11 | 1.31 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
7. mars 2026 Bundesliga
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
2:2
29. okt. 2025 DFB Pokal
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
0:2
26. okt. 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Mainz
2:1
25. jan. 2025 Bundesliga
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
2:0
31. aug. 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Mainz
3:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Mainz Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 2.31
Snitt xA / kamp 1.5
VfB Stuttgart Sammenlign
Toppscorer Jaquez L.
1 Mål Assister Karazor A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.82
Snitt xA / kamp 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Mainz 22 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Mainz VfB Stuttgart
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips VfB Stuttgart Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Mainz scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Mainz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Måltrender
Mainz VS VfB Stuttgart
4.75 Mål scoret 3.38
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home) 15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Mainz
4 : 0 Paris FC
01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3 Mainz
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0 Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Mainz
4 : 0 Paris FC
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0 Holstein Kiel
17 Jul
Mainz
4 : 1 Kaiserslautern
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VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0
