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Stadium Background

Malawi vs South Sudan

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Malawi Logo

Malawi

ons. 23. sep. 2026
VS
04:00 p.m.
South Sudan Logo

South Sudan

Vårt Tips
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. South Sudan have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Malawi have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Malawi have won 2 to South Sudan's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 24. mars 2021, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.76, favoring Malawi. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Malawi
33%
Uavgjort
27%
South Sudan
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Malawi

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • South Sudan haven't matched Malawi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Malawi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Malawi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Malawi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 63%
Malawi Rent bur 20%
South Sudan Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Malawi South Sudan
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 8 5
Uavgjort 5 8
Tap 17 15
Mål Scoret 1.13 0.63
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.88 1.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 0.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. mars 2021 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Malawi
0:1
13. nov. 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Malawi vs South Sudan
1:0
27. nov. 2015 CECAFA Championship
South Sudan vs Malawi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Malawi 40 / 100
South Sudan 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Malawi South Sudan

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips MAL Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

South Sudan let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

South Sudan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Malawi scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Måltrender

Malawi VS South Sudan
1.13 Mål scoret 0.63
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi

(Home)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
18 Nov
Lesotho
0 : 1
Malawi
Page 1 of 6

South Sudan

(Away)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0
South Sudan
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0
Togo
10 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 5
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Gabon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Niger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Egypt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Angola 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 South Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Gambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ivory Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Somalia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Equatorial Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zimbabwe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 D.R. Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Benin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Central Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Comoros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tunisia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Botswana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Uganda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burundi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Togo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Senegal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mozambique 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Liberia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Madagascar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea Bissau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)