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Marathon vs Alianza FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

10'
Menjivar L.
16'
Figueroa H.
32'
Moreno Y.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Marathon
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Alianza FC
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Marathon

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Marathon lately — more wins on the board than Alianza FC.
  • Win probability leans Marathon's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Marathon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 38%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Marathon Rent bur 19%
Alianza FC Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Marathon Alianza FC
Kamper Spilt 28 25
Seire 12 9
Uavgjort 6 9
Tap 10 7
Mål Scoret 1.18 1.28
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.96 1.32
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 1.29
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

20. aug. 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Marathon vs Alianza FC
0:1
28. aug. 2024 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Marathon vs Alianza FC
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Marathon Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59

Alianza FC Sammenlign

Toppscorer Mier M.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.17
Snitt xA / kamp 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Marathon 36 / 100
Alianza FC 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Marathon Alianza FC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Marathon scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Alianza FC conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Solid form: Marathon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Måltrender

Marathon VS Alianza FC
1 Mål scoret 1.25
1.33 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marathon

(Home)
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0
Estrella
Page 1 of 6

Alianza FC

(Away)
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)