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Mathare United vs Kakamega Homeboyz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
12:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Mathare United host Kakamega Homeboyz in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Mathare United have averaged 1 scored and 1.09 conceded recently, against Kakamega Homeboyz's 1.41 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Kakamega Homeboyz slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. apr. 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.44 - 0.38) back Kakamega Homeboyz to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Mathare United
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Kakamega Homeboyz
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Mathare United

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kakamega Homeboyz at 1.41 per game, Mathare United at 1.
  • Model gives Mathare United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Mathare United Rent bur 20%
Kakamega Homeboyz Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mathare United Kakamega Homeboyz
Kamper Spilt 23 22
Seire 7 7
Uavgjort 6 8
Tap 10 7
Mål Scoret 1 1.41
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.09 1.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.44 0.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. apr. 2026 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mathare United
3:0
15. nov. 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Kakamega Homeboyz
2:0
10. mai 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Kakamega Homeboyz
0:1
15. sep. 2024 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mathare United
0:0
4. juni 2023 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mathare United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mathare United 42 / 100
Kakamega Homeboyz 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mathare United Kakamega Homeboyz

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mathare United found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (23 games).

Kakamega Homeboyz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 22 matches.

Solid form: Mathare United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Kakamega Homeboyz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Mathare United VS Kakamega Homeboyz
0.25 Mål scoret 0.5
0.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
13% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mathare United

(Home)
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1
Mathare United
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2
Mathare United
Page 1 of 5

Kakamega Homeboyz

(Away)
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2
Kakamega Homeboyz
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)