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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto
ons. 14. okt. 2026
VS
10:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Matsumoto Yamaga at 1.71 goals for, 1.29 against; Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 2.14 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Matsumoto Yamaga have won 0 to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on 20. juli 2019, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.75) back Sanfrecce Hiroshima to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Matsumoto Yamaga
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than Matsumoto Yamaga.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Matsumoto Yamaga Rent bur 12%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Matsumoto Yamaga Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 12 18
Uavgjort 5 2
Tap 11 9
Mål Scoret 1.71 2.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.29 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.94 1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

20. juli 2019 J1 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:2
17. mars 2019 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
15. juli 2015 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Matsumoto Yamaga
6:0
22. apr. 2015 J.League Cup
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:4
14. mars 2015 J1 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Matsumoto Yamaga 10 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 84 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Matsumoto Yamaga Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Matsumoto Yamaga scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Matsumoto Yamaga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Matsumoto Yamaga VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.13 Mål scoret 2.38
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Home)
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Iwaki
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -