Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Coupe de la Ligue Women encounter between Metz W and Auxerre W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Metz W averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Auxerre W shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Metz W, 1 wins for Auxerre W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 02.05.26 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.19 for Metz W and 1.56 for Auxerre W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Metz W double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Metz W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Auxerre W.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.19 vs 1.56 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 67%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Metz W | Auxerre W |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 27 |
| Seire | 11 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 5 |
| Tap | 14 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.57 | 1.52 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.77 | 1.41 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Metz W
Auxerre W
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Metz W have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Auxerre W have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 27 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.33 goals per match.
Metz W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Auxerre W suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Metz W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Strasbourg W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Auxerre W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 3 |
| 5 | Reims W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:15 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thonon Evian W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Nice W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 3 | St Etienne W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Grenoble W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Montpellier W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toulouse W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Rodez AF W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Fleury 91 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Le Mans W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Lille W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nantes W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Le Havre W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Saint-Malo W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Guingamp W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |