Sport Picks
Miguelturreno vs Guadalajara
Spania
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 
Kampsammendrag
Guadalajara is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Miguelturreno, backed by a win probability of 58%. Miguelturreno averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Guadalajara shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Miguelturreno, 4 wins for Guadalajara, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.03.22 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Miguelturreno and 0.86 for Guadalajara, suggesting the primary value lies in the Guadalajara double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Miguelturreno har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Guadalajara.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.29 vs 0.86 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 58%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Miguelturreno | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 32 |
| Seire | 6 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 8 |
| Tap | 20 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.07 | 1.5 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Miguelturreno
Guadalajara
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Guadalajara will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Miguelturreno will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Guadalajara's early runs.
Expect Guadalajara to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Miguelturreno tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Guadalajara increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Miguelturreno's defense, opening up opportunities for Guadalajara's forward line.
Expect Guadalajara to manage the closing stages, while Miguelturreno searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Miguelturreno have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Guadalajara have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Miguelturreno remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Guadalajara suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71:19 | 77 |
| 2 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 63:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Illescas | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 67 |
| 4 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 53:25 | 64 |
| 5 | Torrijos | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 50:30 | 60 |
| 6 | Conquense | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 49:30 | 56 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:38 | 55 |
| 8 | Azuqueca | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 55:40 | 54 |
| 9 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 50:26 | 54 |
| 10 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 11 | Villacanas | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 12 | Albacete B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:40 | 44 |
| 13 | UD Almansa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 52:56 | 37 |
| 15 | San Clemente | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | 36 |
| 16 | Miguelturreno | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 35:67 | 25 |
| 17 | Hogar Alcarreno | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 29:90 | 17 |
| 18 | La Roda | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0:102 | 0 |