Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Stadium MK, Milton Keynes
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

11' Event
Clarke O.
Assist: Bodin B.
14'
Clarke O.
19'
Bytte
Wilson-Brown T. Inn: Delaney R.
Ut: Wilson-Brown T.

Kampsammendrag

Swindon in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Milton Keynes Dons
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Swindon
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Milton Keynes Dons

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Milton Keynes Dons have won more games recently than Swindon.
  • Model gives Milton Keynes Dons a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Milton Keynes Dons have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Milton Keynes Dons, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
Milton Keynes Dons Rent bur 18%
Swindon Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Milton Keynes Dons Swindon
Kamper Spilt 28 27
Seire 12 10
Uavgjort 10 6
Tap 6 11
Mål Scoret 1.54 1.44
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.04 1.59
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. mars 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
26. des. 2025 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
1:0
11. nov. 2025 EFL Trophy
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
0:4
3. mai 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Milton Keynes Dons
0:0
9. nov. 2024 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
3:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Milton Keynes Dons Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.87
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56

Swindon Sammenlign

Toppscorer Drinan A.
2 Mål
Assister Clarke O.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.19
Snitt xA / kamp 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Milton Keynes Dons 41 / 100
Swindon 37 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Milton Keynes Dons Swindon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Milton Keynes Dons scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Swindon conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Milton Keynes Dons stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Milton Keynes Dons VS Swindon
0.75 Mål scoret 1.38
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Milton Keynes Dons

(Home)
29 Aug
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0
Leicester
22 Aug
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1
Huddersfield
15 Aug
Oxford Utd
2 : 2
Milton Keynes Dons
08 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2
Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6

Swindon

(Away)
29 Aug
Oldham
3 : 0
Swindon
22 Aug
Swindon
2 : 1
Cheltenham
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0
Swindon
08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2
Swindon
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Stockport County 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranmere 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Nottingham U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Grimsby 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
3 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Rotherham 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Oldham 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Newcastle Utd U21 3 1 0 2 5:11 2
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
2 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 7
3 Accrington 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
4 Leeds U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crewe 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 4:9 4
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Cheltenham 3 1 0 2 2:5 2
4 Tottenham U21 3 0 0 3 8:12 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northampton 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Walsall 3 2 0 1 3:2 5
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Chelsea U21 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swindon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 West Ham U21 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 12:4 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5:7 2
4 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 0 3 6:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Peterborough 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Cambridge Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Barnet 3 2 0 1 5:7 5
4 Brighton U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)