Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Trofense is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Mirandes, backed by a win probability of 58%. Mirandes averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Trofense shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Mirandes, 1 wins for Trofense, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 10.03.19 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.10 for Mirandes and 1.11 for Trofense, suggesting the primary value lies in the Trofense double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Mirandes har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Trofense.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.10 vs 1.11 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Mirandes | Trofense |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 36 |
| Seire | 5 | 13 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 10 |
| Tap | 22 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.87 | 1.22 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.87 | 0.97 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Mirandes
Trofense
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Trofense will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Mirandes will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Trofense's early runs.
Expect Trofense to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Mirandes tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Trofense increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Mirandes's defense, opening up opportunities for Trofense's forward line.
Expect Trofense to manage the closing stages, while Mirandes searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Mirandes have found the net in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Trofense have conceded at least one goal in 72% of their last 36 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
Mirandes remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Trofense suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vizela | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 73:13 | 75 |
| 2 | AD Fafe | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 59:24 | 70 |
| 3 | Sao Martinho | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 51:20 | 69 |
| 4 | Trofense | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 60:24 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Felgueiras | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 55:33 | 64 |
| 6 | SC Mirandela | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 49 |
| 7 | Chaves B | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 55:41 | 47 |
| 8 | Merelinense | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:38 | 42 |
| 9 | CDC Montalegre | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 37:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Pedras Salgadas | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:52 | 39 |
| 11 | Maria de Fonte | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:50 | 37 |
| 12 | AD Oliveirense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40:55 | 37 |
| 13 | AD Limianos | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 31:45 | 37 |
| 14 | GD Uniao Torcatense | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 29:60 | 29 |
| 15 | Mirandes | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 16 | Cacadores Taipas | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27:64 | 18 |
| 17 | Vilaverdense FC | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 28:79 | 15 |
| 18 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |