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Monterey Bay 2 vs Project 51O

USA USA

USL League Two 2025 Cardinale Stadium
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This USL League Two 2025 encounter between Monterey Bay 2 and Project 51O promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Monterey Bay 2 averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Project 51O shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Monterey Bay 2, 2 wins for Project 51O, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.06.25 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Monterey Bay 2 and 1.67 for Project 51O, suggesting the primary value lies in the Project 51O double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

33%
Monterey Bay 2
20%
Uavgjort
47%
Project 51O
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Project 51O

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

75% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Monterey Bay 2 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Project 51O.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 1.67 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 70%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 86%
Over 2.5 Mål 70%
Over 3.5 Mål 42%
Over 4.5 Mål 21%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67%
Monterey Bay 2 Rent bur 13%
Project 51O Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 77%
Mål 2. omgang 82%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Monterey Bay 2 Project 51O
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 10 16
Uavgjort 5 7
Tap 15 8
Mål Scoret 1.23 2
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.77
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.33 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.33 1.13

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19.06.25 USL League Two
Project 51O vs Monterey Bay 2
2:2
05.05.25 USL League Two
Monterey Bay 2 vs Project 51O
0:1
06.07.24 USL League Two
Project 51O vs Monterey Bay 2
2:1
23.06.24 USL League Two
Monterey Bay 2 vs Project 51O
3:1
15.07.23 USL League Two
Monterey Bay 2 vs Project 51O
3:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Monterey Bay 2

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Project 51O

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Monterey Bay 2 32 / 100
Project 51O 45 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Monterey Bay 2 Project 51O

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Project 51O or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Monterey Bay 2 36%
Project 51O 38%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Monterey Bay 2 31%
Project 51O 49%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Monterey Bay 2 33%
Project 51O 47%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Monterey Bay 2 35%
Project 51O 45%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Monterey Bay 2 30%
Project 51O 52%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Monterey Bay 2 38%
Project 51O 54%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Monterey Bay 2 angriper → ← angriper Project 51O

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Monterey Bay 2 have found the net in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Project 51O have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Monterey Bay 2 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Project 51O suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

35 Poeng siste 5 55
1.33 Forventede mål (xG) 2.00
1.33 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.13