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Monterey Bay vs New Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

6' Event
Noel V.
Assist: Gloster C.
17'
Jabang O.
31' Event
Nakamura R.
Assist: Montes J.

Kampsammendrag

The USL Championship game between Monterey Bay and New Mexico finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Mexico.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Monterey Bay
20%
Uavgjort
38%
New Mexico
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Monterey Bay

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • New Mexico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Monterey Bay's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Monterey Bay Rent bur 10%
New Mexico Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Monterey Bay New Mexico
Kamper Spilt 29 31
Seire 6 17
Uavgjort 6 8
Tap 17 6
Mål Scoret 1.28 1.71
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.83 1.19
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 2.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. aug. 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico
2:5
21. sep. 2025 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico
1:1
24. apr. 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Monterey Bay
1:0
18. aug. 2024 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Monterey Bay
3:2
2. juni 2024 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Monterey Bay Sammenlign

Toppscorer Nakamura R.
1 Mål
Assister Lletget S.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

New Mexico Sammenlign

Toppscorer Noel V.
2 Mål
Assister Hurst G.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.87
Snitt xA / kamp 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Monterey Bay 40 / 100
New Mexico 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Monterey Bay New Mexico

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Monterey Bay found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

New Mexico has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Monterey Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Monterey Bay VS New Mexico
1.25 Mål scoret 2.13
2 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterey Bay

(Home)
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2
Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6

New Mexico

(Away)
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)