Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montevideo City vs Gremio

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

32'
Siles P.
49' Event
Aguero E.
Assist: Obregon E.
56'
Bytte
Riquelme Inn: Gabriel Mec
Ut: Riquelme

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 1-0.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Montevideo City
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Gremio
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Montevideo City

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Gremio haven't matched Montevideo City's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Montevideo City taking it.
  • Montevideo City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montevideo City, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 50%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 33.2%
Montevideo City Rent bur 68%
Gremio Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Montevideo City Gremio
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 15 11
Uavgjort 4 7
Tap 9 10
Mål Scoret 1.64 1.18
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.21 1.04
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 0.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26. mai 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Gremio vs Montevideo City
2:2
9. apr. 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Montevideo City vs Gremio
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Montevideo City Sammenlign

Toppscorer Aguero E.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Gremio Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.63
Snitt xA / kamp 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Montevideo City 95 / 100
Gremio 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Montevideo City Gremio

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Montevideo City Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Montevideo City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Gremio has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Montevideo City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Montevideo City VS Gremio
1.5 Mål scoret 0.63
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)
29 Aug
Defensor Sp.
1 : 3
Montevideo City
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 0
Montevideo City
23 Aug
Montevideo City
5 : 1
Wanderers
20 Aug
Montevideo City
2 : 1
Tigre
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

Gremio

(Away)
27 Aug
Internacional
0 : 0
Gremio
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0
Gremio
16 Aug
Atletico-MG
3 : 0
Gremio
08 Aug
Gremio
2 : 1
Sao Paulo
05 Aug
Gremio
1 : 0
Mirassol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)