Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morecambe vs Hereford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Morecambe host Hereford in the National League North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Morecambe have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Hereford's 1.55 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Hereford slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17. okt. 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.44) point toward Hereford. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Morecambe
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Hereford
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Hereford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Morecambe Rent bur 16%
Hereford Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Morecambe Hereford
Kamper Spilt 27 31
Seire 10 13
Uavgjort 5 7
Tap 12 11
Mål Scoret 1.59 1.55
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.48 1.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.44 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17. okt. 2026 National League North
Morecambe vs Hereford
0:0
10. mars 2012 League Two
Morecambe vs Hereford
0:1
13. aug. 2011 League Two
Hereford vs Morecambe
0:3
25. apr. 2011 League Two
Morecambe vs Hereford
1:1
25. jan. 2011 League Two
Hereford vs Morecambe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Morecambe 36 / 100
Hereford 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Morecambe Hereford

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Hereford Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Morecambe scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Hereford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Morecambe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Morecambe VS Hereford
2.13 Mål scoret 2.38
0.5 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morecambe

(Home)
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1
Morecambe
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1
Morecambe
Page 1 of 6

Hereford

(Away)
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)