Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motagua vs FAS

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
fre. 7. aug. 2026
VS
03:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. This one's hard to separate. Motagua have averaged 1.13 scored and 1 conceded recently, against FAS's 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.81 - 1.25) back FAS to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Motagua
40%
Uavgjort
29%
FAS
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • FAS have won more games recently than Motagua.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • FAS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Motagua Rent bur 19%
FAS Rent bur 18%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Motagua FAS
Kamper Spilt 30 27
Seire 17 21
Uavgjort 8 4
Tap 5 2
Mål Scoret 1.13 1.5
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 0.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Motagua 32 / 100
FAS 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Motagua FAS

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Motagua scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Motagua has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FAS has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Difficult form: FAS registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Motagua VS FAS
1.13 Mål scoret 1.5
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Motagua

(Home)
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5
Motagua
24 Jul
Olimpia
1 : 0
Motagua
24 May
Motagua
1 : 0
Marathon
22 May
Marathon
1 : 1
Motagua
19 May
Motagua
2 : 1
Genesis FC
Page 1 of 6

FAS

(Away)
25 Jul
FAS
3 : 1
Municipal Limeno
24 May
Aguila
0 : 3
FAS
18 May
FAS
2 : 0
Municipal Limeno
15 May
Municipal Limeno
1 : 0
FAS
10 May
FAS
2 : 1
Cacahuatique
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen11004:23
2Alajuelense11001:03
3Luis Angel Firpo00000:00
4Xelaju10010:10
5Plaza Amador10012:40
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza FC11002:13
2Herediano10100:01
3Marathon10100:01
4Esteli00000:00
5Antigua10011:20
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia11002:03
2Saprissa11002:13
3Alianza00000:00
4UMECIT10011:20
5Deportivo Mixco10010:20
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motagua11005:03
2Municipal10101:11
3Cartagines10101:11
4FAS00000:00
5Verdes10010:50
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)