Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motagua vs Juticalpa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
søn. 25. okt. 2026
VS
09:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Motagua host Juticalpa in the Liga Nacional. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Motagua have averaged 1.66 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Juticalpa's 0.93 scored and 2.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Motagua slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2. aug. 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.94) point toward Motagua. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Motagua
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Juticalpa
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Motagua

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Motagua come out ahead of Juticalpa on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Motagua taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Motagua have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Motagua Rent bur 20%
Juticalpa Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Motagua Juticalpa
Kamper Spilt 38 29
Seire 21 6
Uavgjort 9 6
Tap 8 17
Mål Scoret 1.66 0.93
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.79 2.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. aug. 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Motagua
0:3
19. apr. 2026 Liga Nacional
Motagua vs Juticalpa
2:1
25. feb. 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Motagua
1:2
7. des. 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Motagua
1:7
21. sep. 2025 Liga Nacional
Motagua vs Juticalpa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Motagua 85 / 100
Juticalpa 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Motagua Juticalpa

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Motagua Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Juticalpa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Motagua scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Motagua has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Motagua VS Juticalpa
1.63 Mål scoret 1
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motagua

(Home)
10 Oct
Motagua
2 : 1
CD Choloma
20 Sept
Real Espana
1 : 0
Motagua
17 Sept
Alianza FC
0 : 0
Motagua
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0
Genesis FC
10 Sept
Motagua
3 : 0
Alianza FC
Page 1 of 8

Juticalpa

(Away)
09 Oct
Platense
2 : 1
Juticalpa
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 9 6 2 1 20:7 20
2 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 9 3 2 4 10:7 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 Platense 9 2 2 5 8:19 8
11 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
12 Juticalpa 9 2 0 7 9:21 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)