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Moulins-Yzeure vs Chamalieres

Frankrike Frankrike

National 2 - Group D 2022/2023
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This National 2 - Group D 2022/2023 encounter between Moulins-Yzeure and Chamalieres promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Moulins-Yzeure averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Chamalieres shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Moulins-Yzeure, 2 wins for Chamalieres, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 29.04.23 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Moulins-Yzeure and 1.00 for Chamalieres, suggesting the primary value lies in the Chamalieres double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Moulins-Yzeure
40%
Uavgjort
30%
Chamalieres
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Chamalieres

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

68% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Moulins-Yzeure har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Chamalieres.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 76%
Over 2.5 Mål 42%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 13%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 52%
Moulins-Yzeure Rent bur 23%
Chamalieres Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 68%
Mål 2. omgang 72%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Moulins-Yzeure Chamalieres
Kamper Spilt 30 32
Seire 6 7
Uavgjort 9 12
Tap 15 13
Mål Scoret 0.87 1.03
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.47 1.47

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

29.04.23 National 2 - Group D
Chamalieres vs Moulins-Yzeure
2:0
03.12.22 National 2 - Group D
Moulins-Yzeure vs Chamalieres
1:1
08.04.22 National 2 - Group D
Moulins-Yzeure vs Chamalieres
0:0
23.10.21 National 2 - Group D
Chamalieres vs Moulins-Yzeure
3:0
08.05.21 National 2 - Group D
Chamalieres vs Moulins-Yzeure
0:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Moulins-Yzeure

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Chamalieres

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Moulins-Yzeure 32 / 100
Chamalieres 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Moulins-Yzeure Chamalieres

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Chamalieres or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Moulins-Yzeure 33%
Chamalieres 24%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Moulins-Yzeure 29%
Chamalieres 32%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Moulins-Yzeure 30%
Chamalieres 30%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Moulins-Yzeure 32%
Chamalieres 29%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Moulins-Yzeure 27%
Chamalieres 33%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Moulins-Yzeure 35%
Chamalieres 35%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Moulins-Yzeure angriper → ← angriper Chamalieres

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Moulins-Yzeure have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Chamalieres have conceded at least one goal in 84% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.

Moulins-Yzeure remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Chamalieres suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

27 Poeng siste 5 33
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.00
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GOAL FC30159644:2554
2Les Herbiers301410654:3552
3Bergerac301311648:3050
4Angouleme CFC30129928:1945
5Trelissac30129933:2845
6Chamalieres301281036:3044
7Romorantin301271140:4043
8Bourges 18301011932:3541
9Saumur Olympique301011936:3541
10Angers II301251337:4441
11Andrezieux30913829:2740
12Lorient II30912939:3339
13Nantes II308101231:4134
14Stade Bordelais30851732:4829
15Moulins-Yzeure30691526:4427
16Vierzon Foot30651922:5323