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Mozambique vs Ethiopia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique Logo

Mozambique

ons. 11. nov. 2026
VS
05:00 p.m.
Ethiopia Logo

Ethiopia

Vårt Tips
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ethiopia have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Mozambique have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.16. Head-to-head, Mozambique have won 0 to Ethiopia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 14. jan. 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.71 - 1.43) back Mozambique to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Mozambique
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Ethiopia
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Ethiopia

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Ethiopia haven't matched Mozambique's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Mozambique have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67.8%
Mozambique Rent bur 17%
Ethiopia Rent bur 19%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mozambique Ethiopia
Kamper Spilt 32 29
Seire 11 10
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 16 14
Mål Scoret 1.16 1.07
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.69 1.24
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.71 1.43
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. jan. 2023 African Nations Championship
Ethiopia vs Mozambique
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mozambique 28 / 100
Ethiopia 40 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mozambique Ethiopia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Ethiopia Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mozambique found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Ethiopia conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Mozambique has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Mozambique VS Ethiopia
1 Mål scoret 0.86
2 Mål sluppet inn 0.43
63% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 14%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique

(Home)
29 Sept
Mozambique
4 : 1
Sudan
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0
Mozambique
Page 1 of 7

Ethiopia

(Away)
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Sudan
1 : 0
Ethiopia
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)