Sport Picks
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción 
Kampsammendrag
The first leg ended 3-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nacional Asuncion have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Recoleta's 1.44 scored and 1.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Recoleta slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 3. aug. 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.88, favoring Nacional Asuncion. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Nacional Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
- Model gives Nacional Asuncion a 40% chance of winning this.
- Nacional Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Nacional Asuncion | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 34 |
| Seire | 13 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 11 | 7 |
| Tap | 5 | 17 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.86 | 1.74 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Nacional Asuncion scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Nacional Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Asuncion
(Home)Recoleta
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
