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Napier City vs Wellington Phoenix 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
11:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Napier City host Wellington Phoenix 2 in the National League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Napier City have averaged 2 scored and 2.29 conceded recently, against Wellington Phoenix 2's 1.94 scored and 2.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Napier City have won 2 to Wellington Phoenix 2's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 13. okt. 2024, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.00 - 1.64) back Napier City to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Napier City
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Napier City

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 have managed 1.94 goals a game lately — Napier City are scoring more at 2.
  • Model gives Napier City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Napier City here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 41%
Over 4.5 Mål 18%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Napier City Rent bur 13%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Napier City Wellington Phoenix 2
Kamper Spilt 31 31
Seire 11 11
Uavgjort 5 3
Tap 15 17
Mål Scoret 2 1.94
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.29 2.55
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.00 1.64
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

13. okt. 2024 National League
Napier City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:1
14. okt. 2023 National League
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Napier City
0:1
1. okt. 2022 National League
Napier City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Napier City 84 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Napier City Wellington Phoenix 2

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Napier City Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Napier City scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Napier City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Wellington Phoenix 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Napier City VS Wellington Phoenix 2
2 Mål scoret 1.13
2.14 Mål sluppet inn 2
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Napier City

(Home)
04 Oct
Auckland United
7 : 1
Napier City
26 Sept
Napier City
1 : 1
Miramar
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Hibiscus Coast
2 : 5
Napier City
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4
Napier City
Page 1 of 7

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 14:0 6
2 Auckland United 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
3 Miramar 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Ferrymead Bays 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Auckland City 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
6 Wellington Olympic 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
7 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
8 Napier City 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
9 Wellington Phoenix 2 2 0 1 1 1:11 1
10 Auckland FC 2 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
11 Birkenhead 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)