Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Liga MX U20 encounter between Necaxa U20 and Queretaro U20 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Necaxa U20 averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Queretaro U20 shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Necaxa U20, 0 wins for Queretaro U20, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.02.23 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for Necaxa U20 and 1.63 for Queretaro U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Necaxa U20 double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Necaxa U20 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Queretaro U20.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.44 vs 1.63 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 66%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Necaxa U20 | Queretaro U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 9 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 6 |
| Tap | 13 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.63 | 1.87 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Necaxa U20
Queretaro U20
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Necaxa U20 Sammenlign
Queretaro U20 Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Necaxa U20 have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Queretaro U20 have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.25 goals per match.
Necaxa U20 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Queretaro U20 suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas U20 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:19 | 35 |
| 2 | Club America U20 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Atlas U20 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 36:22 | 32 |
| 4 | Toluca U20 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL U20 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:17 | 27 |
| 6 | Puebla U20 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34:30 | 24 |
| 7 | Queretaro U20 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 29:30 | 24 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna U20 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 26:29 | 24 |
| 9 | Juarez U20 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | 24 |
| 10 | Necaxa U20 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 26:25 | 23 |
| 11 | Monterrey U20 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul U20 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:18 | 22 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana U20 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 14 | UNAM Pumas U20 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:26 | 20 |
| 15 | Pachuca U20 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27:30 | 19 |
| 16 | Mazatlan U20 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17:33 | 17 |
| 17 | Club Leon U20 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19:30 | 12 |
| 18 | Atletico San Luis U20 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15:32 | 8 |