Sport Picks
Neuenkirchen vs 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn
Tyskland
Oberliga Westfalen 2016/2017 
Kampsammendrag
1.FC Kaan-Marienborn is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Neuenkirchen, backed by a win probability of 60%. Neuenkirchen averages 1.7 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Neuenkirchen, 1 wins for 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 28.05.17 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Neuenkirchen and 1.00 for 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn, suggesting the primary value lies in the 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Neuenkirchen har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 74%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Neuenkirchen | 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 9 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 6 |
| Tap | 14 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Neuenkirchen
1.FC Kaan-Marienborn
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
1.FC Kaan-Marienborn will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Neuenkirchen will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn's early runs.
Expect 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Neuenkirchen tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Neuenkirchen's defense, opening up opportunities for 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn's forward line.
Expect 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn to manage the closing stages, while Neuenkirchen searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Neuenkirchen have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.
1.FC Kaan-Marienborn have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Neuenkirchen remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
1.FC Kaan-Marienborn suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erndtebruck | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 73:34 | 67 |
| 2 | Westfalia Rhynern | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 62:41 | 64 |
| 3 | Hammer SpVgg. | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 56:40 | 62 |
| 4 | Marl-Huls | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 74:62 | 56 |
| 5 | Eintracht Rheine | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Lippstadt | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 60:43 | 55 |
| 7 | 1.FC Kaan-Marienborn | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 38:40 | 48 |
| 8 | SC Hassel | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | TUS Ennepetal | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 39:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Gutersloh | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:55 | 43 |
| 11 | Brunninghausen | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45:47 | 43 |
| 12 | Paderborn II | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46:50 | 43 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld II | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:42 | 42 |
| 14 | ASC 09 Dortmund | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 61:61 | 41 |
| 15 | Neuenkirchen | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 60:67 | 41 |
| 16 | Roland Beckum | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 38:56 | 41 |
| 17 | SUS Stadtlohn | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 40:63 | 31 |
| 18 | Erkenschwick | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 33:83 | 19 |