Sport Picks
New Mexico vs Lexington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM 
Kamphendelser
10'
10'
Semmle O.
29'
29'
Hurst G.
46'
46'
Bytte
Fry M. Inn: Ferri B.
Ut: Fry M.
Kampsammendrag
The USL Championship game between New Mexico and Lexington finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Mexico.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
4%
6%
90%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Lexington
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- New Mexico have managed 1.66 goals a game lately — Lexington are scoring more at 1.87.
- Win probability leans Lexington's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors New Mexico here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
New Mexico Rent bur 10%
Lexington Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | New Mexico | Lexington |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 30 |
| Seire | 15 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 3 |
| Tap | 6 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.66 | 1.87 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.21 | 1.37 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
27. aug. 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Lexington
2:1
15. juli 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs New Mexico
1:4
28. sep. 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Lexington
2:1
14. juni 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs New Mexico
2:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
New Mexico Sammenlign
Toppscorer Keller K.
1 Mål Assister Reid-Stephen N.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.11
Snitt xA / kamp 0.72
Lexington Sammenlign
Toppscorer Muir M.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.76
Snitt xA / kamp 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
New Mexico 10 / 100
Lexington 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
New Mexico Lexington
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Lexington Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
New Mexico found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Lexington has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
New Mexico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
New Mexico VS Lexington
1.63 Mål scoret 2.25
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
New Mexico
(Home) 04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
Page 1 of 4
Lexington
(Away) 03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
16 Aug
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Lexington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
