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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
11:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

New York Red Bulls host Toronto FC in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Toronto FC have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while New York Red Bulls have conceded 2 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor New York Red Bulls slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14. mars 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back New York Red Bulls to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
New York Red Bulls
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Toronto FC
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: New York Red Bulls

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Toronto FC haven't matched New York Red Bulls's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans New York Red Bulls's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79.4%
New York Red Bulls Rent bur 17%
Toronto FC Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk New York Red Bulls Toronto FC
Kamper Spilt 27 27
Seire 8 6
Uavgjort 6 11
Tap 13 10
Mål Scoret 1.3 1.41
Mål Sluppet Inn 2 1.89
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. mars 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls
1:1
25. juni 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls
1:1
22. mars 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
2:1
2. okt. 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls
1:4
28. juli 2024 Leagues Cup
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 75 / 100
Toronto FC 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
New York Red Bulls Toronto FC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips New York Red Bulls Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Toronto FC conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

New York Red Bulls found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: New York Red Bulls stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

New York Red Bulls VS Toronto FC
0.5 Mål scoret 1.63
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls

(Home)
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Toronto FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1
Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0
Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)