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Newcastle Olympic vs Kahibah

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Darling Street Oval
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This NPL Northern NSW encounter between Newcastle Olympic and Kahibah promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Newcastle Olympic averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Kahibah shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Newcastle Olympic, 0 wins for Kahibah, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.06.26 ended in a 3:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.31 for Newcastle Olympic and 1.94 for Kahibah, suggesting the primary value lies in the Kahibah double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

32%
Newcastle Olympic
24%
Uavgjort
44%
Kahibah
Uavgjort-prognose: 24% Favoritt: Kahibah

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

74% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Newcastle Olympic har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Kahibah.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.31 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 68%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 68%
Over 3.5 Mål 41%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65%
Newcastle Olympic Rent bur 10%
Kahibah Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 79%
Mål 2. omgang 84%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Newcastle Olympic Kahibah
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 8 16
Uavgjort 11 3
Tap 11 9
Mål Scoret 2 2.04
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.8 1.64
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.00 2.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14.06.26 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Kahibah
3:3
15.03.26 NPL Northern NSW
Kahibah vs Newcastle Olympic
0:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Newcastle Olympic

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Kahibah

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Newcastle Olympic Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bradbury K.
1 Mål
Assister Brymora D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.45
Snitt xA / kamp 0.94

Kahibah Sammenlign

Toppscorer Burston J.
1 Mål
Assister Bos J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.71
Snitt xA / kamp 1.04

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Newcastle Olympic 31 / 100
Kahibah 42 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Newcastle Olympic Kahibah

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Kahibah or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Newcastle Olympic 35%
Kahibah 35%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Newcastle Olympic 30%
Kahibah 46%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Newcastle Olympic 32%
Kahibah 44%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Newcastle Olympic 34%
Kahibah 42%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Newcastle Olympic 29%
Kahibah 48%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Newcastle Olympic 37%
Kahibah 51%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Newcastle Olympic angriper → ← angriper Kahibah

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Newcastle Olympic have found the net in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Kahibah have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

Newcastle Olympic remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Kahibah suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

35 Poeng siste 5 51
1.88 Forventede mål (xG) 1.88
2.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC17114247:2137
2Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
3Weston Workers Bears1683531:2727
4Maitland1683530:2727
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1675432:2826
6Lambton Jaffas FC1764733:2622
7Cooks Hill United1655629:3020
8Newcastle Olympic1746732:3018
9Adamstown Rosebud1745824:3317
10Valentine1644814:3116
11Kahibah1542923:3614
12Charlestown Azzurri16421024:4014