Sport Picks
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Kamphendelser
33'
33'
Heffernan D.
Own Goal
36'
36'
Phillips D.
75'
75'
Ward G. A.
Kampsammendrag
Carmarthen Town in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carmarthen Town.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
30%
34%
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Newport City
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
66%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Carmarthen Town have won more games recently than Newport City.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Newport City taking it.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Newport City Rent bur 15%
Carmarthen Town Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Newport City | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 28 |
| Seire | 6 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 8 |
| Tap | 16 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.11 | 2.04 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.89 | 2 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
8. aug. 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town
1:2
1. mars 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town
4:4
27. sep. 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Newport City
1:0
22. mars 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town
3:0
14. sep. 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Newport City
1:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Newport City Sammenlign
Toppscorer Ward G. A.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.39
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91
Carmarthen Town Sammenlign
Toppscorer Phillips D.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.42
Snitt xA / kamp 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Newport City 35 / 100
Carmarthen Town 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Newport City Carmarthen Town
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Carmarthen Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Newport City's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Newport City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Newport City VS Carmarthen Town
1.25 Mål scoret 2.38
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Newport City
(Home) 09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2 Newport City
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1 Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
08 Aug
Newport City
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
08 Jul
Newport City
0 : 5 Newport
18 Apr
Newport City
0 : 5 Trefelin
Page 1 of 3
Carmarthen Town
(Away) 02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
08 Aug
Newport City
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
28 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 7 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 11 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
