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Stadium Background

Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
ons. 16. sep. 2026
VS
06:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Newport City host Trethomas Bluebirds in the Cymru South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Newport City have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Trethomas Bluebirds's 1.68 scored and 2.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Trethomas Bluebirds slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 16. sep. 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Trethomas Bluebirds. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Newport City
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Trethomas Bluebirds
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Trethomas Bluebirds come out ahead of Newport City on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Newport City Rent bur 17%
Trethomas Bluebirds Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Newport City Trethomas Bluebirds
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 6 7
Uavgjort 6 9
Tap 16 12
Mål Scoret 1.11 1.68
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.89 2.18
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16. sep. 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds
0:0
9. mars 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Newport City
1:0
10. okt. 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
3. jan. 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:2
1. nov. 2024 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Newport City
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Newport City 36 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Newport City Trethomas Bluebirds

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Trethomas Bluebirds Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Trethomas Bluebirds conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Newport City found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Newport City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Newport City VS Trethomas Bluebirds
1 Mål scoret 1.75
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport City

(Home)
09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2
Newport City
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Away)
10 Oct
Treowen
1 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)