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Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Municipal de Berkane

Ghana

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This Africa Cup of Nations 2025 encounter between Niger and Ghana promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Niger averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Ghana shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Niger, 2 wins for Ghana, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.11.24 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.31 for Niger and 0.81 for Ghana, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ghana double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

35%

Niger

30%

Uavgjort

35%

Ghana

Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Ghana

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

68% / Middels Sikkerhet

Niger har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Ghana.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.31 vs 0.81 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%

Over 1.5 Mål 65%

Over 2.5 Mål 38%

Over 3.5 Mål 23%

Over 4.5 Mål 11%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 41%

Niger Rent bur 26%

Ghana Rent bur 10%

Mål 1. omgang 59%

Mål 2. omgang 62%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Niger	Ghana
Kamper Spilt	29	29
Seire	8	10
Uavgjort	12	8
Tap	9	11
Mål Scoret	1.07	1.38
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.03	1.17
Forventede Mål (xG)	1.00	0.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18.11.24 Africa Cup of Nations

Ghana vs Niger

Ballbesittelse: 50% - 54% Kort: 2 - 3

1:2

09.09.24 Africa Cup of Nations

Niger vs Ghana

Ballbesittelse: 54% - 57% Kort: 2 - 0

1:1

28.01.23 African Nations Championship

Niger vs Ghana

Ballbesittelse: 53% - 41% Kort: 3 - 3

2:0

21.09.17 WAFU Cup of Nations

Ghana vs Niger

Ballbesittelse: 52% - 50% Kort: 2 - 2

2:0

28.01.13 Africa Cup of Nations

Niger vs Ghana

Ballbesittelse: 52% - 43% Kort: 2 - 2

0:3

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Niger

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Ghana

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Niger Sammenlign

Toppscorer Sako O.

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.77

Snitt xA / kamp 0.5

Ghana Sammenlign

Toppscorer Seidu A.

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.57

Snitt xA / kamp 0.35

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Niger 37 / 100

Ghana 34 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Niger Ghana

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Ghana or Draw (X2)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Draw (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Niger 39%

Ghana 28%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Niger 33%

Ghana 37%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Niger 35%

Ghana 35%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Niger 37%

Ghana 33%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Niger 32%

Ghana 39%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Niger 40%

Ghana 40%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Niger angriper → ← angriper Ghana

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Niger have found the net in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Ghana have conceded at least one goal in 62% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Niger remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Ghana suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

36 Poeng siste 5 38

1.00 Forventede mål (xG) 0.63

1.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4