Sport Picks
Nordmark Satrup vs Lubeck II
Tyskland
Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 
Kampsammendrag
This Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 encounter between Nordmark Satrup and Lubeck II promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Nordmark Satrup averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Lubeck II shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Nordmark Satrup, 1 wins for Lubeck II, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.03.25 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Nordmark Satrup and 1.31 for Lubeck II, suggesting the primary value lies in the Nordmark Satrup double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Nordmark Satrup har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Lubeck II.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.04 vs 1.31 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 70%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Nordmark Satrup | Lubeck II |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 36 | 31 |
| Seire | 18 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 6 |
| Tap | 13 | 15 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.86 | 1.65 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.56 | 2.19 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Nordmark Satrup
Lubeck II
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Nordmark Satrup Sammenlign
Lubeck II Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Nordmark Satrup is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Lubeck II will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Nordmark Satrup's attacks.
Expect Nordmark Satrup to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Nordmark Satrup vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Lubeck II, allowing Nordmark Satrup's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Nordmark Satrup, while Lubeck II takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Nordmark Satrup have found the net in 78% of their last 36 matches.
Lubeck II have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.50 goals per match.
Nordmark Satrup remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Lubeck II suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilia Kiel | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 109:43 | 74 |
| 2 | Heider SV | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 90:41 | 68 |
| 3 | PSV Neumunster | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 83:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Eichede | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 64:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Nordmark Satrup | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 62:52 | 41 |
| 6 | Preussen Reinfeld | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 54:56 | 41 |
| 7 | Hohenwestedt | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 50:64 | 40 |
| 8 | Oldenburger SV | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 66:68 | 38 |
| 9 | Eutin 08 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49:54 | 37 |
| 10 | Rotenhof | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 58:68 | 35 |
| 11 | VfR Neumunster | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:67 | 35 |
| 12 | Lubeck II | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 13 | Eckernforder SV | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 53:68 | 32 |
| 14 | TSB Flensburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 51:70 | 31 |
| 15 | Eidertal Molfsee | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 44:85 | 27 |
| 16 | Dornbreite Lubeck | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 32:104 | 13 |