Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Macedonia U19 vs Latvia U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Euro U19 2025 encounter between North Macedonia U19 and Latvia U19 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. North Macedonia U19 averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Latvia U19 shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for North Macedonia U19, 1 wins for Latvia U19, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 09.10.24 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.69 for North Macedonia U19 and 1.44 for Latvia U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Latvia U19 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

32%
North Macedonia U19
35%
Uavgjort
33%
Latvia U19
Uavgjort-prognose: 35% Favoritt: Latvia U19

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

69% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • North Macedonia U19 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Latvia U19.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 48%
Over 3.5 Mål 29%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 48%
North Macedonia U19 Rent bur 16%
Latvia U19 Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 76%
Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk North Macedonia U19 Latvia U19
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 7 8
Uavgjort 10 8
Tap 13 15
Mål Scoret 0.9 1.19
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.53 1.87
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.63 0.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.13 2.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

09.10.24 Euro U19
North Macedonia U19 vs Latvia U19
1:1
26.03.24 Euro U19
Latvia U19 vs North Macedonia U19
1:1
21.03.18 Euro U19
North Macedonia U19 vs Latvia U19
1:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

North Macedonia U19

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Latvia U19

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

North Macedonia U19 Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.32

Latvia U19 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Mickevics T.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.68
Snitt xA / kamp 0.42

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

North Macedonia U19 32 / 100
Latvia U19 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
North Macedonia U19 Latvia U19

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Latvia U19 or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

North Macedonia U19 35%
Latvia U19 26%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

North Macedonia U19 30%
Latvia U19 35%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

North Macedonia U19 32%
Latvia U19 33%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

North Macedonia U19 34%
Latvia U19 31%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

North Macedonia U19 29%
Latvia U19 36%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

North Macedonia U19 37%
Latvia U19 38%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

North Macedonia U19 angriper → ← angriper Latvia U19

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

North Macedonia U19 have found the net in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Latvia U19 have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.33 goals per match.

North Macedonia U19 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Latvia U19 suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

31 Poeng siste 5 32
0.63 Forventede mål (xG) 0.75
2.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U1933005:09
2Slovenia U1932013:36
3Kazakhstan U1931023:53
4Ukraine U1930031:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U1933007:29
2Hungary U1932015:36
3Cyprus U1931023:63
4Andorra U1930030:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U1932103:17
2Belgium U1931205:25
3Bulgaria U1931114:34
4Lithuania U1930031:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Poland U19330013:09
2Turkey U1932019:36
3Malta U1931022:93
4Gibraltar U1930031:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U1932109:17
2Wales U1932017:26
3Scotland U1931114:14
4Liechtenstein U1930030:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Czech Republic U1932015:36
2Finland U1932018:36
3Switzerland U1932015:16
4San Marino U1930030:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ireland U1932106:17
2Iceland U1932014:26
3Moldova U1930212:32
4Azerbaijan U1930122:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Italy U1933007:09
2Montenegro U1932016:56
3Greece U1931025:63
4Bosnia & Herzegovina U1930034:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U1933007:49
2Georgia U1931115:54
3Estonia U1931114:44
4Sweden U1930033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria U1932018:16
2Spain U1932017:46
3Kosovo U1932016:76
4Faroe Islands U1930030:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Denmark U1933008:29
2Israel U19320111:46
3Northern Ireland U1931022:73
4Albania U1930030:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slovakia U1932015:36
2Luxembourg U1931115:54
3Latvia U1931115:44
4North Macedonia U1930212:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Serbia U1932107:27
2Croatia U1932016:36
3Belarus U1931115:54
4Armenia U1930031:90