Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 encounter between North Macedonia and Latvia promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. North Macedonia averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Latvia shows a form average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for North Macedonia, 0 wins for Latvia, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.11.25 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for North Macedonia and 1.19 for Latvia, suggesting the primary value lies in the North Macedonia double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- North Macedonia har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Latvia.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | North Macedonia | Latvia |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 10 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 11 | 7 |
| Tap | 9 | 17 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.17 | 0.57 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.27 | 1.6 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
North Macedonia
Latvia
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
North Macedonia Sammenlign
Latvia Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
North Macedonia is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Latvia will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of North Macedonia's attacks.
Expect North Macedonia to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see North Macedonia vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Latvia, allowing North Macedonia's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from North Macedonia, while Latvia takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
North Macedonia have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Latvia have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
North Macedonia remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Latvia suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |