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Stadium Background

North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX
North Texas Logo

North Texas

3 - 1
Slutt
Tacoma Defiance Logo

Tacoma Defiance

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

43'
Goncalves L.
50' Event
Gnaulati X.
Assist: Gaffney C.
57'
Robles D.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The MLS Next Pro game between North Texas and Tacoma Defiance finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Texas.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
North Texas
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Tacoma Defiance
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: North Texas

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Tacoma Defiance have managed 1.66 goals a game lately — North Texas are scoring more at 1.68.
  • North Texas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 87%).
  • North Texas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 87%
Over 3.5 Mål 50%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
North Texas Rent bur 10%
Tacoma Defiance Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk North Texas Tacoma Defiance
Kamper Spilt 31 29
Seire 15 15
Uavgjort 0 0
Tap 16 14
Mål Scoret 1.68 1.66
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.71 1.62
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.00 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. aug. 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance
3:1
26. mai 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs North Texas
2:3
27. okt. 2024 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance
4:1
15. apr. 2024 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance
2:1
20. aug. 2023 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance
2:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

North Texas Sammenlign

Toppscorer Starnes S.
1 Mål
Assister Baran D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.54
Snitt xA / kamp 1

Tacoma Defiance Sammenlign

Toppscorer Gnaulati X.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.82
Snitt xA / kamp 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

North Texas 56 / 100
Tacoma Defiance 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
North Texas Tacoma Defiance

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips North Texas Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

North Texas found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Tacoma Defiance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

North Texas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

North Texas VS Tacoma Defiance
1.88 Mål scoret 2
2 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Texas

(Home)
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 1
North Texas
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
05 Sept
North Texas
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
Page 1 of 7

Tacoma Defiance

(Away)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)