Sport Picks

England

EFL Cup City Ground, Nottingham

Kamphendelser

26'

Tanaka A.

46'

Schlager X.

50'

James D.

Assist: Longstaff S.

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Nottingham have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Leeds's 1.54 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Nottingham have won 1 to Leeds's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 22. aug. 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring Leeds. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%

Nottingham

33%

Uavgjort

40%

Leeds

Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Leeds

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet

Nottingham have managed 1.53 goals a game lately — Leeds are scoring more at 1.54.
Model gives Leeds a 40% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Leeds, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
History favors Leeds here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%

Over 1.5 Mål 75%

Over 2.5 Mål 25%

Over 3.5 Mål 22%

Over 4.5 Mål 10%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 31.6%

Nottingham Rent bur 16%

Leeds Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Nottingham	Leeds
Kamper Spilt	32	28
Seire	14	14
Uavgjort	8	7
Tap	10	7
Mål Scoret	1.53	1.54
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.06	1.07
Forventede Mål (xG)	1.31	1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

22. aug. 2026 Premier League

Nottingham vs Leeds

0:1

6. feb. 2026 Premier League

Leeds vs Nottingham

3:1

9. nov. 2025 Premier League

Nottingham vs Leeds

3:1

27. juli 2023 Club Friendly

Nottingham vs Leeds

0:2

4. apr. 2023 Premier League

Leeds vs Nottingham

2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Nottingham Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.01

Snitt xA / kamp 0.66

Leeds Sammenlign

Toppscorer James D.

1 Mål

Snitt xG / kamp 1.36

Snitt xA / kamp 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Nottingham 28 / 100

Leeds 50 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Nottingham Leeds

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Leeds Win (2)

Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Nottingham scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Leeds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nottingham stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Nottingham VS Leeds

1.38 Mål scoret 1.88

1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham

(Home)

22 Aug

Nottingham

0 : 1

Leeds

16 Aug

Nottingham

2 : 0

Brest

12 Aug

Nottingham

2 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

08 Aug

Barcelona

1 : 0

Nottingham

08 Aug

Udinese

1 : 0

Nottingham

Page 1 of 7

Leeds

(Away)

22 Aug

Nottingham

0 : 1

Leeds

15 Aug

Leeds

4 : 0

Augsburg

12 Aug

Manchester United

2 : 1

Leeds

08 Aug

Leeds

2 : 0

RB Leipzig

02 Aug

Liverpool

2 : 4

Leeds

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford Utd 0

Ipswich -

TBD -

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1

Reading 2

Cambridge Utd 2

Barnet 1

QPR 1

Millwall 2

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

TBD -

Brentford -

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Watford 1

Crawley Town 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Fulham -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 2

Newport 1

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

TBD -

Coventry -

Chelsea -

TBD -

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Tottenham -

TBD -

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Rotherham 1

West Brom 4

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield Utd 3

Nottingham -

TBD -

Leeds -

Stockport County 1

Doncaster 2

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Barnsley 2

Wigan 1

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

Preston 2

Huddersfield 1

TBD -

Everton -

Stoke City 2

Oldham 0

TBD -

Hull City -

Sheffield Wed 1

Bolton 0

Wolves 3

Port Vale 0

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Fleetwood Town 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford 1

Shrewsbury 2

Bradford City 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 2

Notts County 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

Walsall -

Leyton Orient -

Ipswich -

Leicester -

Cardiff -

Norwich -

Stevenage -

Reading -

Cambridge Utd -

Millwall -

Birmingham -

Brentford -

Southampton -

West Ham -

Watford -

Peterborough -

Fulham -

AFC Wimbledon -

Plymouth -

Coventry -

Chelsea -

Luton -

Tottenham -

Charlton -

Newcastle Utd -

West Brom -

Blackburn -

Sheffield Utd -

Nottingham -

Leeds -

Doncaster -

Middlesbrough -

Barnsley -

Crewe -

Preston -

Everton -

Stoke City -

Hull City -

Sheffield Wed -

Wolves -

Blackpool -

Lincoln City -

Fleetwood Town -

Shrewsbury -

Bradford City -

Burnley -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Nottingham vs Leeds

England

Nottingham

Leeds

Kamphendelser

Kampsammendrag

Seierssannsynlighet

Modellens Sikkerhet

Målsannsynlighet

Siste Formanalyse

H2H

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Nottingham Sammenlign

Leeds Sammenlign

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Modell-Prognose

Smart Innsikt

Måltrender

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham

Leeds

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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