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Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, Ogre
søn. 11. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Ogre United host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. BFC Daugavpils have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Ogre United have conceded 2.33 and scored 1.19. Head-to-head, Ogre United have won 0 to BFC Daugavpils's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 14. aug. 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 2.25) point toward BFC Daugavpils. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Ogre United
30%
Uavgjort
34%
BFC Daugavpils
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Ogre United

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Ogre United haven't matched BFC Daugavpils's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ogre United's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and BFC Daugavpils have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Ogre United Rent bur 10%
BFC Daugavpils Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ogre United BFC Daugavpils
Kamper Spilt 36 30
Seire 7 11
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 22 10
Mål Scoret 1.19 1.3
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.33 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 2.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. aug. 2026 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
3:1
19. juli 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils
0:4
21. mai 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
3:1
7. apr. 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ogre United 34 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ogre United BFC Daugavpils

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Ogre United scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

BFC Daugavpils has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

BFC Daugavpils lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Ogre United VS BFC Daugavpils
1.13 Mål scoret 1.63
2.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre United

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 8

BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)