Sport Picks
Olimpia Satu Mare vs Somesul Satu-Mare
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 6 2007/2008 
Kampsammendrag
Somesul Satu-Mare is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Olimpia Satu Mare, backed by a win probability of 60%. Olimpia Satu Mare averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.7 conceded in recent matches. Somesul Satu-Mare shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Olimpia Satu Mare, 2 wins for Somesul Satu-Mare, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.03.08 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Olimpia Satu Mare and 1.00 for Somesul Satu-Mare, suggesting the primary value lies in the Somesul Satu-Mare double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Olimpia Satu Mare har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Somesul Satu-Mare.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Olimpia Satu Mare | Somesul Satu-Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 5 | 16 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 3 |
| Tap | 23 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.73 | 1.03 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Olimpia Satu Mare
Somesul Satu-Mare
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Somesul Satu-Mare will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Olimpia Satu Mare will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Somesul Satu-Mare's early runs.
Expect Somesul Satu-Mare to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Olimpia Satu Mare tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Somesul Satu-Mare increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Olimpia Satu Mare's defense, opening up opportunities for Somesul Satu-Mare's forward line.
Expect Somesul Satu-Mare to manage the closing stages, while Olimpia Satu Mare searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Olimpia Satu Mare have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Somesul Satu-Mare have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Olimpia Satu Mare remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Somesul Satu-Mare suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baile Felix | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 68:34 | 79 |
| 2 | Avantul Reghin | 34 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 69:27 | 79 |
| 3 | FCMU Baia Mare | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:26 | 64 |
| 4 | Somesul Satu-Mare | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 57:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Gloria Progresul Bistrita | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 59:41 | 58 |
| 6 | Targu Mures | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Metan Targu | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 55:51 | 49 |
| 8 | Unirea Dej | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 40:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Lacul Ursu Mobila Sovata | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 43:50 | 46 |
| 10 | Turul Micula 2000 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:61 | 44 |
| 11 | Unirea Ungheni | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42:54 | 43 |
| 12 | Bihorul Beius | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 38:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Olimpia Satu Mare | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43:53 | 40 |
| 14 | Sanatatea Cluj | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 45:58 | 40 |
| 15 | Sighetu Marmatiei | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 42:58 | 38 |
| 16 | Inter Blaj | 34 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 40:60 | 36 |
| 17 | FC Bihor 2 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 36:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Universitatea Cluj II | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 19:77 | 14 |