Sport Picks
Operario VG vs Várzea Grande EC
Brasil
Matogrossense Estadio Municipal Dito Souza 
Kampsammendrag
This Matogrossense encounter between Operario VG and Várzea Grande EC promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Operario VG averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Várzea Grande EC shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Operario VG, 0 wins for Várzea Grande EC, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 10.01.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.46 for Operario VG and 1.13 for Várzea Grande EC, suggesting the primary value lies in the Operario VG double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Operario VG har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Várzea Grande EC.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.46 vs 1.13 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Operario VG | Várzea Grande EC |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 39 | 29 |
| Seire | 13 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 10 | 6 |
| Tap | 16 | 17 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.05 | 0.97 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.1 | 1.97 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.67 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Operario VG
Várzea Grande EC
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Operario VG Sammenlign
Várzea Grande EC Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Operario VG is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Várzea Grande EC will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Operario VG's attacks.
Expect Operario VG to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Operario VG vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Várzea Grande EC, allowing Operario VG's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Operario VG, while Várzea Grande EC takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Operario VG have found the net in 67% of their last 39 matches.
Várzea Grande EC have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Operario VG remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Várzea Grande EC suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luverdense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 17 |
| 2 | Mixto | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Sport Sinop | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Cuiaba | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Nova Mutum EC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Chapada | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Primavera AC | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Várzea Grande EC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | 5 |