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Stadium Background

Orange County SC vs Louisville City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, CA
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

6' Event
Serrano R.
Assist: Showunmi T.
44'
Davila E.
45'
Duncan Z.

Kampsammendrag

The USL Championship game between Orange County SC and Louisville City finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louisville City.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Orange County SC
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Louisville City
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Louisville City

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Louisville City come out ahead of Orange County SC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Louisville City taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Louisville City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Orange County SC Rent bur 10%
Louisville City Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Orange County SC Louisville City
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 9 14
Uavgjort 7 6
Tap 13 9
Mål Scoret 1.34 1.66
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.76 1.34
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16. aug. 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Louisville City
2:3
19. okt. 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Louisville City
0:0
11. mai 2024 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Orange County SC
3:0
12. mars 2023 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Louisville City
1:3
19. juni 2022 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Orange County SC
3:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Orange County SC Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bazini Y.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.82
Snitt xA / kamp 0.53

Louisville City Sammenlign

Toppscorer Serrano R.
2 Mål
Assister Donovan C.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.76
Snitt xA / kamp 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Orange County SC 10 / 100
Louisville City 84 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Orange County SC Louisville City

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Louisville City Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Orange County SC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Louisville City has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Orange County SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Orange County SC VS Louisville City
0.88 Mål scoret 1.38
2.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orange County SC

(Home)
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2
Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6

Louisville City

(Away)
10 Oct
Charleston
0 : 2
Louisville City
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1
Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Louisville City
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1
Loudoun United
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 28 15 5 8 48:36 50
2 New Mexico 28 14 7 7 44:33 49
3 Sacramento Republic 28 11 12 5 38:26 45
4 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 28 11 8 9 41:38 41
7 Orange County SC 28 10 9 9 37:44 39
8 San Antonio FC 28 9 12 7 29:29 39
9 Las Vegas Lights 28 10 6 12 37:41 36
10 Phoenix Rising 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
11 Oakland Roots 28 8 11 9 33:35 35
12 Monterey Bay 28 5 6 17 30:50 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)