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Stadium Background

Ostbahn vs Wien Floridsdorf

Austria Austria

Wien 2018/2019
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Wien 2018/2019 encounter between Ostbahn and Wien Floridsdorf promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Ostbahn averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in recent matches. Wien Floridsdorf shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Ostbahn, 1 wins for Wien Floridsdorf, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 10.05.19 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Ostbahn and 1.75 for Wien Floridsdorf, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ostbahn double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

43%
Ostbahn
22%
Uavgjort
35%
Wien Floridsdorf
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Ostbahn

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

72% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Ostbahn har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Wien Floridsdorf.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.35 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 66%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 85%
Over 2.5 Mål 66%
Over 3.5 Mål 40%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 55%
Ostbahn Rent bur 12%
Wien Floridsdorf Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 77%
Mål 2. omgang 81%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ostbahn Wien Floridsdorf
Kamper Spilt 35 34
Seire 7 7
Uavgjort 9 7
Tap 19 20
Mål Scoret 1.26 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.2 2.97

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10.05.19 Wien
Ostbahn vs Wien Floridsdorf
0:0
27.10.18 Wien
Wien Floridsdorf vs Ostbahn
0:3
06.04.18 Wien
Ostbahn vs Wien Floridsdorf
0:1
16.09.17 Wien
Wien Floridsdorf vs Ostbahn
3:5
24.03.17 Wien
Ostbahn vs Wien Floridsdorf
2:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Ostbahn

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Wien Floridsdorf

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ostbahn 41 / 100
Wien Floridsdorf 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ostbahn Wien Floridsdorf

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Ostbahn or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Ostbahn 47%
Wien Floridsdorf 28%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Ostbahn 41%
Wien Floridsdorf 37%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Ostbahn 43%
Wien Floridsdorf 35%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Ostbahn 45%
Wien Floridsdorf 33%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Ostbahn 39%
Wien Floridsdorf 39%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Ostbahn 49%
Wien Floridsdorf 40%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Ostbahn angriper → ← angriper Wien Floridsdorf

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Ostbahn have found the net in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Wien Floridsdorf have conceded at least one goal in 91% of their last 34 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Ostbahn remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Wien Floridsdorf suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

30 Poeng siste 5 28
1.50 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
2.50 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00