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Oxford City vs Sporting Khalsa

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025 RAW Charging Stadium
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This FA Trophy 2024/2025 encounter between Oxford City and Sporting Khalsa promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Oxford City averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Sporting Khalsa shows a form average of 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Oxford City, 0 wins for Sporting Khalsa, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.11.24 ended in a 5:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.85 for Oxford City and 1.13 for Sporting Khalsa, suggesting the primary value lies in the Oxford City double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

48%
Oxford City
18%
Uavgjort
34%
Sporting Khalsa
Uavgjort-prognose: 18% Favoritt: Oxford City

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

75% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Oxford City har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Sporting Khalsa.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.85 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 64%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 64%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 59%
Oxford City Rent bur 21%
Sporting Khalsa Rent bur 17%
Mål 1. omgang 76%
Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Oxford City Sporting Khalsa
Kamper Spilt 31 29
Seire 12 12
Uavgjort 8 3
Tap 11 14
Mål Scoret 1.35 2.17
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.32 2.41

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16.11.24 FA Trophy
Oxford City vs Sporting Khalsa
5:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Oxford City

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sporting Khalsa

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Oxford City Sammenlign

Toppscorer Parker J.
1 Mål
Assister Croker P.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.38
Snitt xA / kamp 0.25

Sporting Khalsa Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0
Snitt xA / kamp 0

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Oxford City 47 / 100
Sporting Khalsa 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Oxford City Sporting Khalsa

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Oxford City or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Oxford City 53%
Sporting Khalsa 27%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Oxford City 46%
Sporting Khalsa 36%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Oxford City 48%
Sporting Khalsa 34%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Oxford City 50%
Sporting Khalsa 32%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Oxford City 43%
Sporting Khalsa 37%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Oxford City 55%
Sporting Khalsa 39%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Oxford City angriper → ← angriper Sporting Khalsa

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Oxford City have found the net in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Sporting Khalsa have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Oxford City remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sporting Khalsa suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

44 Poeng siste 5 39
0.50 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
1.25 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00