Sport Picks
Paderborn II vs Erndtebruck
Tyskland
Oberliga Westfalen 2022/2023 
Kampsammendrag
This Oberliga Westfalen 2022/2023 encounter between Paderborn II and Erndtebruck promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Paderborn II averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Erndtebruck shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Paderborn II, 0 wins for Erndtebruck, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.04.23 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.54 for Paderborn II and 0.88 for Erndtebruck, suggesting the primary value lies in the Paderborn II double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Paderborn II har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Erndtebruck.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.54 vs 0.88 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 61%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Paderborn II | Erndtebruck |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 34 | 30 |
| Seire | 17 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 6 |
| Tap | 11 | 15 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.94 | 2.33 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Paderborn II
Erndtebruck
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Paderborn II Sammenlign
Erndtebruck Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Paderborn II is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Erndtebruck will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Paderborn II's attacks.
Expect Paderborn II to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Paderborn II vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Erndtebruck, allowing Paderborn II's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Paderborn II, while Erndtebruck takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Paderborn II have found the net in 74% of their last 34 matches.
Erndtebruck have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.
Paderborn II remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Erndtebruck suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gutersloh | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 67:38 | 72 |
| 2 | Preussen Munster 2 | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 82:46 | 65 |
| 3 | Paderborn II | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 53:23 | 64 |
| 4 | Lotte | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 64:43 | 60 |
| 5 | TUS Bovinghausen | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 73:59 | 53 |
| 6 | Westfalia Rhynern | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 7 | ASC 09 Dortmund | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Clarholz | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:48 | 48 |
| 9 | Finnentrop/Bamenohl | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 66:56 | 47 |
| 10 | Eintracht Rheine | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52:60 | 46 |
| 11 | Vreden | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:67 | 43 |
| 12 | Schermbeck 2020 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:56 | 39 |
| 13 | Gievenbeck | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 48:50 | 36 |
| 14 | Siegen | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 50:54 | 35 |
| 15 | Sprockhovel | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 48:69 | 35 |
| 16 | TUS Ennepetal | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 32:59 | 35 |
| 17 | Erndtebruck | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 47:85 | 34 |
| 18 | Delbrucker | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 47:71 | 32 |