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Paraguay U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W

South America South America

South American Championship Women U20 2024
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This South American Championship Women U20 2024 encounter between Paraguay U20 W and Uruguay U20 W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Paraguay U20 W averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Uruguay U20 W shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Paraguay U20 W, 3 wins for Uruguay U20 W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.02.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Paraguay U20 W and 1.50 for Uruguay U20 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Uruguay U20 W double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

41%
Paraguay U20 W
17%
Uavgjort
42%
Uruguay U20 W
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Uruguay U20 W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

69% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Paraguay U20 W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Uruguay U20 W.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 59%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 80%
Over 2.5 Mål 59%
Over 3.5 Mål 35%
Over 4.5 Mål 18%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 39%
Paraguay U20 W Rent bur 16%
Uruguay U20 W Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 72%
Mål 2. omgang 76%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Paraguay U20 W Uruguay U20 W
Kamper Spilt 32 27
Seire 12 11
Uavgjort 6 3
Tap 14 13
Mål Scoret 1.25 1.78
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.88 1.22
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 0.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.50 0.83

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

06.02.26 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
0:0
13.04.24 South American Championship Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
2:1
09.04.22 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
3:0
22.02.22 Friendly International Women
Paraguay U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
2:3
09.03.20 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
4:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Paraguay U20 W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Uruguay U20 W

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Paraguay U20 W Sammenlign

Toppscorer Acosta F.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.81

Uruguay U20 W Sammenlign

Toppscorer Felix J.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.45
Snitt xA / kamp 0.28

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Paraguay U20 W 40 / 100
Uruguay U20 W 40 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Paraguay U20 W Uruguay U20 W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Uruguay U20 W or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Paraguay U20 W 45%
Uruguay U20 W 34%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Paraguay U20 W 39%
Uruguay U20 W 44%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Paraguay U20 W 41%
Uruguay U20 W 42%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Paraguay U20 W 43%
Uruguay U20 W 40%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Paraguay U20 W 37%
Uruguay U20 W 46%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Paraguay U20 W 47%
Uruguay U20 W 48%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Paraguay U20 W angriper → ← angriper Uruguay U20 W

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Paraguay U20 W have found the net in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Uruguay U20 W have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 27 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.40 goals per match.

Paraguay U20 W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Uruguay U20 W suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

42 Poeng siste 5 36
1.63 Forventede mål (xG) 0.50
2.50 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.83

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paraguay U20 W43105:210
2Peru U20 W42116:47
3Argentina U20 W41303:26
4Ecuador U20 W41123:54
5Uruguay U20 W40043:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colombia U20 W440011:212
2Brazil U20 W430110:49
3Venezuela U20 W42029:66
4Chile U20 W41032:83
5Bolivia U20 W40040:120