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PeKa vs Lahden Reipas

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2022
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Kakkonen Group A 2022 encounter between PeKa and Lahden Reipas promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. PeKa averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in recent matches. Lahden Reipas shows a form average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for PeKa, 1 wins for Lahden Reipas, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.07.22 ended in a 5:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for PeKa and 1.49 for Lahden Reipas, suggesting the primary value lies in the Lahden Reipas double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

35%
PeKa
15%
Uavgjort
50%
Lahden Reipas
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Lahden Reipas

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • PeKa har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Lahden Reipas.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.35 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 77%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 80%
Over 2.5 Mål 77%
Over 3.5 Mål 46%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 58%
PeKa Rent bur 16%
Lahden Reipas Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 72%
Mål 2. omgang 76%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk PeKa Lahden Reipas
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 8 17
Uavgjort 5 2
Tap 17 12
Mål Scoret 1.3 2.97
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.4 1.52

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

06.07.22 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs PeKa
5:0
29.05.22 Kakkonen Group A
PeKa vs Lahden Reipas
1:0
25.09.21 Kakkonen Group A
PeKa vs Lahden Reipas
1:0
17.07.21 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs PeKa
1:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

PeKa

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Lahden Reipas

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

PeKa 35 / 100
Lahden Reipas 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
PeKa Lahden Reipas

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Lahden Reipas or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

PeKa 39%
Lahden Reipas 40%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

PeKa 33%
Lahden Reipas 53%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

PeKa 35%
Lahden Reipas 50%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

PeKa 37%
Lahden Reipas 48%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

PeKa 32%
Lahden Reipas 55%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

PeKa 40%
Lahden Reipas 57%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

PeKa angriper → ← angriper Lahden Reipas

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

PeKa have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Lahden Reipas have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.25 goals per match.

PeKa remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Lahden Reipas suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

29 Poeng siste 5 53
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.88
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jippo22154347:1649
2KaPa22153458:2948
3Lahden Reipas22152559:2247
4Kiffen22108442:2038
5Atlantis22113838:3536
6Keski-Uusimaa2296747:4533
7NJS22831135:4127
8Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)22741154:4225
9KuPS Akatemia22571030:3622
10FC Futura22641230:4922
11PeKa22541327:5819
12LaPa22121915:895