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Penarol vs Platense

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

22' Event
Mainero G.
Assist: Silva T.
26'
Escobar F.
33'
Nasif T.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Penarol
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Platense
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Penarol

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Penarol come out ahead of Platense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Penarol's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Penarol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Platense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 31.6%
Penarol Rent bur 68%
Platense Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Penarol Platense
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 13 10
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 8 10
Mål Scoret 1.39 0.97
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.89 1.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 0.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

7. mai 2026 Copa Libertadores
Platense vs Penarol
1:1
17. apr. 2026 Copa Libertadores
Penarol vs Platense
1:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Penarol Sammenlign

Toppscorer Arezo M.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

Platense Sammenlign

Toppscorer Mainero G.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.68
Snitt xA / kamp 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Penarol 46 / 100
Platense 44 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Penarol Platense

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Penarol found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Platense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Penarol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Penarol VS Platense
1.38 Mål scoret 1.13
0.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
30 Aug
Penarol
0 : 1
Club Nacional
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 0
Montevideo City
22 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0
Penarol
16 Aug
Penarol
2 : 1
Central Esp.
05 Aug
Penarol
5 : 1
Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Platense

(Away)
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0
Platense
28 Aug
Platense
2 : 1
Instituto
23 Aug
Barracas Central
1 : 2
Platense
19 Aug
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Platense
16 Aug
Platense
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)