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Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots

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USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium
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Kampsammendrag

This USL Championship encounter between Phoenix Rising and Oakland Roots promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Phoenix Rising averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Oakland Roots shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Phoenix Rising, 1 wins for Oakland Roots, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.06.26 ended in a 3:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.06 for Phoenix Rising and 1.31 for Oakland Roots, suggesting the primary value lies in the Phoenix Rising double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

35%
Phoenix Rising
35%
Uavgjort
30%
Oakland Roots
Uavgjort-prognose: 35% Favoritt: Phoenix Rising

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Phoenix Rising har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Oakland Roots.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 76%
Over 2.5 Mål 53%
Over 3.5 Mål 32%
Over 4.5 Mål 16%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 54%
Phoenix Rising Rent bur 18%
Oakland Roots Rent bur 14%
Mål 1. omgang 68%
Mål 2. omgang 72%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Phoenix Rising Oakland Roots
Kamper Spilt 27 27
Seire 10 8
Uavgjort 7 11
Tap 10 8
Mål Scoret 1.26 1.63
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.22 1.59
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.88 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.50 1.25
Ballbesittelse % N/A N/A
Skudd N/A N/A
Skudd på Mål N/A N/A
Cornere N/A N/A
Kort N/A N/A

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21.06.26 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
3:4
22.03.26 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
2:2
28.09.25 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
3:3
13.07.25 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising
1:2
13.10.24 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising
0:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Phoenix Rising

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Oakland Roots

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Phoenix Rising Sammenlign

Toppscorer Gomez D.
1 Mål
Assister Arase K.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.68
Snitt xA / kamp 0.44

Oakland Roots Sammenlign

Toppscorer Trejo D.
1 Mål
Assister Valot F.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.03
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Phoenix Rising 35 / 100
Oakland Roots 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Phoenix Rising Oakland Roots

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Phoenix Rising or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Phoenix Rising 39%
Oakland Roots 24%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Phoenix Rising 33%
Oakland Roots 32%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Phoenix Rising 35%
Oakland Roots 30%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Phoenix Rising 37%
Oakland Roots 29%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Phoenix Rising 32%
Oakland Roots 33%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Phoenix Rising 40%
Oakland Roots 35%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Phoenix Rising angriper → ← angriper Oakland Roots

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Phoenix Rising have found the net in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Oakland Roots have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 27 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.20 goals per match.

Phoenix Rising remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Oakland Roots suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Presisjons-Dashboard

History Log Unavailable

Historical prediction accuracy logs and success dashboards require a live connection to a completed tips outcome database. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

37 Poeng siste 5 35
0.88 Forventede mål (xG) 1.13
1.50 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.25
N/A Ballbesittelse % N/A
N/A Skudd per kamp N/A
N/A Skudd på mål N/A
N/A Corner per kamp N/A
N/A Kort per kamp N/A