Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Pohja-Tallinna 2 enters this Estonian Cup 2019/2020 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Pohja-Tallinna 2 averages 3.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. Viimsi JK shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Pohja-Tallinna 2, 0 wins for Viimsi JK, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 05.09.19 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Pohja-Tallinna 2 and 1.00 for Viimsi JK, suggesting the primary value lies in the Pohja-Tallinna 2 double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Pohja-Tallinna 2 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Viimsi JK.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 56%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Pohja-Tallinna 2 | Viimsi JK |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 5 | 30 |
| Seire | 3 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 0 | 4 |
| Tap | 2 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.8 | 1.33 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Pohja-Tallinna 2
Viimsi JK
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Pohja-Tallinna 2 Sammenlign
Viimsi JK Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Pohja-Tallinna 2 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Viimsi JK will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Pohja-Tallinna 2's attacks.
Expect Pohja-Tallinna 2 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Pohja-Tallinna 2 vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Viimsi JK, allowing Pohja-Tallinna 2's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Pohja-Tallinna 2, while Viimsi JK takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Pohja-Tallinna 2 have found the net in 40% of their last 5 matches.
Viimsi JK have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
Pohja-Tallinna 2 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Viimsi JK suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning